Tag Archives: Democratic

New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary: 6 Of the 8 Superdelagtes Already Pledged To Hillary Clinton.

by Anura Guruge


nhsupers2016111

Click to ENLARGE. 6 Superdelegates, New Hampshire luminaries, already pledged to Hillary Clinton. 6 of the 8 Superdelegates. Possible that the other two are also for Hillary. From: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Democratic_Party_superdelegates,_2016


msnbccurrentdelegatesfeb32016111

Delegate count post Iowa caucus 2016 by MSNBC. Hillary = 30, Bernie = 21. Click to ENLARGE. From: nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election


cnnfeb3count2016

CNN count that factors in ALL ALREADY pledged Superdelegates. Click to ENLARGE.  Bernie has 8.2% of the number of delegates that Hillary has. From: cnn.com/election/primaries/parties/democrat


apdelegatesfeb32016

The AP equivalent of the CNN numbers shown above. Click to ENLARGE. The ratio is still the same. Click to ENLARGE. Google “democratic primary delegate” to get LATEST version of this from AP via Google.


Why the Bernie Sanders’ crowd REFUSES to acknowledge these numbers is a mystery to I. Yes, we had similar in 2008 with Obama and Hillary, BUT Obama had a huge lead, nationwide — something Bernie does NOT have and will not have. Sanders cannot, given the proportional distribution of the ‘normal’ delegates, hope to overcome this chasm.  


Related posts:
++++ Search on ‘election’ for many other related posts from past years >>>>


by Anura Guruge

Iowa Caucus: Hillary Clinton Won By 59.6% To Bernie Sanders 40.4% WHEN 8 Superdelegates Were Allocated.

by Anura Guruge


Just amazes me as to how many voters (especially Bernie supporters) do NOT understand about Superdelegates and their PIVOTAL role in shaping who the Democratic nominee will be. In reality the reason the Democratic Party has Superdelegates is to ensure that the ‘Party’ will have some say in who the eventual nominee will be. That is why they are called ‘Super’. The chosen. Iowa has 8 Superdelegates and they can (and will) throw their lot behind who they think should be the nominee irrespective of what the voters voted.

Hillary Clinton got ALL 8 of the Iowa Superdelegates.

So the REAL outcome of the Iowa caucus was (and I put this together for YOU):

iowasuperdelegates


Overall this is where we currently stand.

Yes, this CAN change and it did in 2008
(with Superdelegates switching over to Obama)

superdelegatesfeb22016

Bernie has a BIGGER uphill climb than 98% of Bernie Sanders’ supporters understand.

The whole process is proportional.

So before the Superdelegates they will both, like in Iowa, get a similar number of delegates.

Then the Supers put Hillary over the top.


Related posts:
++++ Search on ‘election’ for many other related posts from past years >>>>


by Anura Guruge

Red and Blue Map Of New Hampshire (NH) For 2012, Town-by-Town, Obama vs. Romney


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

….
by Anura Guruge


For 2016 Trump vs. Clinton, Town-by-Town click here.

redblue2016-2012


Related posts:
1/ How Obama Won NH: Town-by-Town Data Analysis — Nov. 9, 2012.
2/ Map Of Obama Win, County-by-County, Red and Blue — Nov. 10, 2012.
3/ Obama’s NH Win 2012 In Terms Of The NH Counties — Nov. 10, 2012.


The BIG picture is well known, and well documented.

President Barack Obama again won New Hampshire, this time by 40,659 votes (5.8%). as a battleground state, and superficially ‘red’, especially if you went by the roadside political signs.

The NH voting was done in terms of 237 ‘towns’; Obama won 142, lost 94 and one, Dixville, was a tie.

Of the 10 NH Counties, Obama won 7, lost 3.


But, here you can see, graphically how each town voted.

Yes, I did this by hand!

Lets start by looking at the map from ‘30,000’ feet to get a feel of the ‘blue’ vs ‘red’ distribution.

Anura Guruge red blue map for NH town by town

New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Election, red and blue, town-by-town map by Anura Guruge — the 30,000′ view for perspective.


Here it is on a BIGGER scale.

Red and blue map of New Hampshire 2012, Presidential Election, Anura Guruge

Red and blue map of New Hampshire 2012, Presidential Election, Anura Guruge. Click to ENLARGE and enlarge you must.


To provide as many perspectives as possible, I also mapped it against the NH county red and blue map: side-by-side and overlaid.

NH 2012 red and blue, town-by-town alongside county map -- Anura Guruge

NH 2012 red and blue, town-by-town alongside county map — Anura Guruge.

NH 2012 red and blue town-by-town overlaid on top of red and blue county map -- Anura Guruge

NH 2012 red and blue town-by-town overlaid on top of red and blue county map — Anura Guruge

These Two Posts Show Quite Dramatically Why Obama Won. Classic. Education Is So Important.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

….
by Anura Guruge


I just discovered this Website via Craigslist.
I get a feeling that I might be visiting it quite often.
Refer to MY 47% post.

This is so, so RIGHT. Data, if you look, provided by no other than Fox Business News! Click to access the ‘Happy Place’ Website. Hilarious. Where is Maine, though they voted, probably accidentally, Obama.


With this one YOU have to read the comments. So you have to visit.

You have NO CHOICE. You have to CLICK. The responses are what makes this. Classic.

How Obama Won New Hampshire — The In-Depth, Town-by-Town Data Analysis.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

….
by Anura Guruge


Related:
NH red and blue town-by-town map — Nov. 14, 2012.


Well, we all know that President Barack Obama again won New Hampshire, which was a battleground state, and superficially ‘red’, especially if you went by the roadside political signs.

Voting in NH is done in terms of 237 ‘towns’, a few of them having multiple precincts such that there is a total of 301 precincts. This ‘deep dive’ computerized analysis, however, is done in terms of the 237 ‘towns’ as this is the most germane and meaningful.

A Grand Total of 705,874 valid votes were cast in
New Hampshire on November 6, 2012.

Obama got 368,529 (52.2%) of those votes.

Romney got 327,870 (46.4%) votes and the two ‘independents’, Goode and Johnson, got 1,156 (0.2%) and 8,319 (1.2%) respectively.

Obama thus won by 40,659 votes (5.8%).

But the above doesn’t tell you the whole, intriguing story. So given that computerized data analysis is something that I relish doing (and do a lot in terms of my papal history research) I went about setting up an Excel spread sheeting and analyzing the data. I got the raw data from WMUR, from this page. [No, I did not type it in. It is all a matter of ‘copy-paste-replace-replace-tabulate-cut-paste’ and viola!]


Obama won more votes than Romeny in 142 ( 59.9%) towns in NH. So that is more than is 52.2% ‘popular’ vote win.

He won Dalton’s 492 votes by ONE (1)!; Obama 241, Romney 240 & Johnson 11.

He won Deering by 3.

*******

Obama lost 94 towns to Romney, with Dixville (the 1st in the Nation to announce the vote) the ONLY tie.

Obama lost Haverhill by 1 vote.


The towns in which Obama had the greatest majority in terms of the votes cast (i.e., ‘%). Lyme tops the list, with intellectual Hanover, home of ‘Dartmouth’, coming in next. This list makes interesting reading.

Obama New Hampshire Win by Anura Guruge

The top NH Obama towns in terms of ‘%’ win. Click to ENLARGE.


The towns that were the most Pro-Romney in terms of ‘%’, and it grieves me that New Ispwich (which was my 1st home in NH, 1986 to 1996 and still home to my eldest, though my son voted in MA) and Alton (2007 ->) are right there at the bottom! But, we won.


This chart, which shows the top 10 numerical plurality that Obama enjoyed tells the story as to how and where Obama won NH. He won all the big [i.e., most populous] towns. As Bill Clinton will say, the rest is arithmetic.

Where Obama won BIG. Click to ENLARGE.

So just in these 10 towns he got a 41,722 vote lead.

In the 142 towns he carried, his total lead was 73,213.

In the 94 towns he lost, his deficit was 32,554 — hence the overall 40,569 win.

The town with the numerically largest anti-Obama vote was Bedford, with 3,277. Alton’s ‘margin’ was 940, that of Gilford 315.



Though I am very possessive of my popes-related Excel spread sheets, I am happy to freely share with Excel spread sheet with anyone else who is interested. Just e-mail me.

Andrew Hosmer, The Perfect Gentleman (Though A Lawyer), Wins HUGE In NH Senate District 7. Great News For NH.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

….
by Anura Guruge


The first time I met Andrew Hosmer was at this year’s Laconia Multicultural Day when he was doing the rounds. We chatted briefly and I was hugely impressed. I introduced him to a ‘friend’ from Gilford who had lost his job at Hannaford’s. Andrew spent a lot of time talking with him. I decided that I was going to follow Andrew. I was not disappointed. Then I found out that my friend Lisa DiMartino, who also just won a seat in the NH house, was acting as Andrew’s fiscal agent. For me the deal was done. I was not just going to follow Andrew, I was going to root for him though Alton (where we live) is outside of his District 7. I am glad I did. Andrew has done all of us PROUD! Bravo. This continues to be a great, great, wonderful week for me, the family, Alton, NH, THE COUNTRY and the World. I am so happy and proud. Having folks like Lisa and Andrew in Concord is so good for the 47% — which includes us.


Andrew Hosmer introduced Dr. Jill Biden when she visited Laconia, NH on October 26, 2012.

Andrew Hosmer with Jill Biden taken by Anura Guruge

Andrew Hosmer after he had done a great job introducing Dr. Jill Biden who captivated the gathering. Please refer to link above for another picture of Andrew at this event. Click to ENLARGE.


Click to ENLARGE.


Though I knew of his company, I only knew of Andrew’s opponent from what I had read in the media, as of the September primary race. I was amazed. For there to be so much smoke around him had to mean that something was smoldering. I was worried for Andrew. His opponent, in terms of signage and letters to the Laconia Daily Sun, seemed to be on a tear.

I had a brief, private chat with Andrew after the Jill Biden visit. He assured me that he was ‘looking good. Told me not to worry. But, I still worried. I counted signs on election day as I was in and around Gilford and Laconia doing my stuff for Obama. His opponent definitely won the sign contest. But, as with Obama, this election proved that signs means NADA. If anything it was those that had the least signs that won. I am so delighted. I had 4 Obama signs stolen. But, that is OK. Obama won. Romney lost. Same with Andrew. Andrew won. The signs lost.

I saw his opponents truck, emblazoned with the name of his company, illegally parked at the Gilford voting station. Yes, I have a picture of it — but I didn’t post it because I did not want to give his company any free publicity. To me seeing his truck illegally parked said it all. I wanted Andrew to win.

Andrew won. Life is good.

I can add another ‘I WON’ to my list. How great is that?