Tag Archives: elector

Pope Francis, For The First Time, Did NOT Exceed The 120 Elector Limit — Is This A Clue To Timing Of Next Pope Electing Conclave?

by Anura Guruge


consistorysfdsf

Click to ENLARGE. From my ‘magic’ Cardinals Excel spreadsheet. Dates when existing cardinals turn 80.


On the day of Pope Francis‘ cardinal creating consistory, viz., November 19, 2016, there will be 108 cardinal electors (barring any deaths prior to that).

Nine (9) days later another cardinal, viz., ‘Sarr’, turns 80 and ceases to be an elector.

Pope Francis will be creating 13 new cardinal electors on November 19, 2016.

So, yes … for 9 days we will have 121 electos — ONE (1) more than the currently allowed 120 elector max. BUT this gets normalized on November 28, 2016.

So come December, when the pope turns 80, the number of electors will be at 120. PERFECT.

This pope has only held 2 other cardinal creating consistories, one in February 2014 and the other in February 2015.

After his first one there were 122 electors. It was to be 3 weeks before, barring a death (which did occur), two cardinals were due to age out.

In 2015 he had 125 electors after his consistory.

But this time he is being very careful.

This could be a CLUE. A December conclave ahead of Christmas? 


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by Anura Guruge

Three New Cardinals Or Not — The Next Pope Will NOT Be From America. SORRY!

by Anura Guruge


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Click to access breathless “Fox News” coverage. Google “consistory” for more coverage.


PLEASE!

That Pope Francis is creating 3 more U.S. cardinals, bringing the number of U.S. cardinal electors to 10, does NOT MEAN that the Next Pope will be American.

PLEASE!

Pigs will fly first.

Even with 10, the second largest electoral block after Italy, the U.S. cardinal electors only have 12% of the required votes.

Multiple reasons why the next pope will not be
American, black, Asian or under 70.

But for today, BLAME Trump.

Trump has ignited the “Ugly American” spectre across the globe!

Sorry.

Not my doing. I only note and comment.


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by Anura Guruge

The Chances Of Pope Francis RESIGNING Just Went Up — With November 19, 2016 Consistory.

by Anura Guruge


I was anticipating this 4 months ago!

Remember I was the ONLY person who identified ‘Pope Francis’ as a possible pope,
IN PRINT, ahead of his election.

I even got the November 19, 2016 date right.

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Click to access my seminal June 26, 2016 post on this very same topic.


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Click to access “Reuters” coverage of the forthcoming November 19, 2016, cardinal creating consistory.


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I also discussed, in this post, the SIGNIFICANCE of a November cardinal-creating consistory. Click image to access August 22, 2016 post.


Not a given, BUT Pope Francis opting for this November 19, 2016 cardinal creating consistory CERTAINLY increases the likelihood that Pope Francis may consider resigning/retiring/abdicating once he turns turns 80 on December 17, 2016.

He has openly talked about this possibility.

That he is TOPPING up the cardinal electors to the MAXIMUM 120 (legally) permitted is significant.

Let the “NEXT POPE“, papabili, speculation commence.


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by Anura Guruge

Pope Francis Reorganizes The Vatican Curia To Better Deal With The Migrant Crisis Facing The World.

by Anura Guruge


Click here to read the Vatican original.

Francisdicas

Click to ENLARGE and read here.


‘Cor Unum’ mentioned above essentially dealt with charity work. So Pope Francis is taking 4 dicasteries (i.e., curial departments) that in one way or another dealt with humanitarian issues and merging them into a new dicastery with an emphasis on the new migrant crisis.

This new dicastery will be headed by the Ghanaian Cardinal Peter Turkson — once considered, imporbably, to be a papabile.

My collaborator on these matters papal, Louis Epstein, tells me that he takes this news as an indication that Francis is unlikely to retire soon.


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by Anura Guruge

Pope Benedict XVI Created Cardinal Electors Are Once Again The Majority.

by Anura Guruge


The columns denote: Cardinal Electors, Cardinal Non-Electors (i.e., over 80) & TOTAL.

cardinals

Click to ENLARGE.


Got this from an e-mail from Louis Epstein, College of Cardinals watcher and my collaborator on many papal topics: “I note that with Cardinal Rouco Varela’s age-out last week Benedict XVI cardinals are again a majority of the electors (56-55) and will stay so through a possible February consistory date(no Benedict cardinal ages out before February and two JP II cardinals age out in October alone)”. [Louis and I differ on when the next cardinal creating consistory might be — as I discussed in this post. Louis is holding out for February 2017 while I think that there is a chance (a small one possibly) that we could get one in November 2016.

I personally do not think the Benedict ’56’ majority is significant in any way. The John Paul II and Benedict XVI cardinals are all from the SAME CLOTH and as such mindset and ideology. Between them we have 80 electors, i.e., 72% — 6% over the two-thirds majority required to elect a new pope. Plus I am sure MOST of the Francis electors will vote with the old guard to elect a new pope who is far different in temperament and mentality to the current pope.


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by Anura Guruge

November 2016 Cardinal Creating Consistory Or Will Pope Francis Hold Out Till February 2017?

by Anura Guruge


From “CRUX“, August 21, 2016.

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In this post in June 2016 I had opined that November 19, 2016 would be a logical date for the next cardinal creating consistoryPope Francis‘ third.

However, after what had been a long hiatus, I was talking, this weekend, with cardinalabili expert Louis Epstein. He believes that Pope Francis will wait till February 2017 given that both his prior cardinal creating consistories were in February.

He definitely has the option of waiting till February or even later.

We have 111 cardinal electors right now. Three will age-out (i.e., reach 80) by November 19, 2016. Three more would have aged out by February 16, 2017.

So, barring deaths, there will be 108 electors in November 2016 and 105 in February 2017. This is plenty enough to elect a pope.

So this again begs the question as to whether Pope Francis, who turns 80 on December 17, 2016, plans to retire anytime soon as he has been intimating for ‘years’. Louis thinks that Francis is having too much fun right now to retire. He could be right. If he doesn’t plan to retire before February 2017 he could very well wait till then for the next consistory.


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by Anura Guruge

Will Pope Francis Retire/Resign In December 2016 — And If So November 19 Consistory?

by Anura Guruge


From “National Catholic Register” (NCR) from 2 days ago. Click here for the original.
Click image to ENLARGE and read the snippet here.
Enter “pope marriage” into “Google News” for many, many more recent articles.

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Click to ENLARGE and read snippet here. Pope continues to REVEL in being confrontational, confounding, contradictory and just plain unpredictable.


Pope Francis will turn 80 on December 17, 2016.

Pope Francis has repeatedly stated, voluntarily, from the very start of his papacy on March 13, 2013, that his will be a short papacy and that he will have no qualms about retiring — though the notion of pope’s retiring only became a reality with the last pope, Benedict XVI

Age ’80’, since the 1970s, has become an artificial ‘high water mark’ in Catholicism since this is when cardinals lose their right to vote in conclaves — while the nominal retirement agent for Archbishops, Bishops and senior curial officers is 75.

While the pope does not have to retire EVER — IF he does want to retire then turning 80 would be a symbolic time (and one that would be much appreciated by cardinals who don’t really like losing their franchise upon reaching that age).

December 17 isn’t that far away. If he resigns on or around his birthday there will be CHAOS with Christmas but two weeks away! They would have to hold a conclave just ahead of Christmas. That would be inconvenient. Yes, he can announce his retirement on his birthday and say that (like Benedict XVI) he will step down after ‘x-weeks’. That would take us into mid-January, and a conclave towards the end of January 2017.

Francis in his 3 years and 3 months as pope has held 2 cardinal creating consistories and created a total of 39 cardinals. That is unremarkable, not too many or not too little. Right now there are 112 cardinal electors (120 the supposed (but untested) MAX). There is no quorum per se. 60 cardinals electors could, quite legitimately, elect a pope. There were 117 eligible cardinal electors for the 2015 conclave and 113 participated.

The annual November “Solemnity of Christ the King” is a favored time, ‘of late’, for cardinal creating consistories. This year it will fall on Sunday, November 20, 2016. So the consistory will be held on the Saturday, November 19th, with the celebratory Mass on the Sunday feast.

November 19th is a propitious day for a cardinal creating consistory. Italian Cardinal Ennio Antonelli will turn 80 the day before opening up one more cardinal elector slot. Barring deaths, with Antonelli’s aging out the electors will be down to 108 on November 19th. Another, Théodore-Adrien Sarr, will turn 80 on November 28th — 9 days later. So there will be 13 genuine cardinal elector slots. That is a nice number to fill.

So, some food for thought.


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by Anura Guruge