Tag Archives: exceed

Cardinals Filoni & Ouellet Are Now The Leading Contenders To Be The Next Pope, i.e., Papabile.

by Anura Guruge


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Do NOT forget that I got the ‘Next Pope’ RIGHT in 2013.

Click image to access the original 2013 post on THIS bog.


Click to ENLARGE. From my ‘The Next Pope 2011’ book. Click on image at the bottom to get a copy.


Timing is everything, because age is of paramount concern, as to who will be the Next Pope post Francis. So, it all depends on when the next Conclave is likely to occur. Pope Francis is 81 and appears to be in reasonable health. But, he has hinted, more than once, that he too, like Benedict XVI before him, might retire — when the time is right. The question is such a retirement on the cards over the next 24 – 36 months?

Two CONFLICTING ‘data points’ on this. Following his cardinal-creating consistory last week he had 125 cardinal electors. Per current law only 120 cardinal electors can participate in a conclave. Bar deaths of electors, this 125 number will not drop to 120 till July 2019. That would mean that the pope does not plan to retire prior to July 2019 — though he can increase that 120 limit in a matter of seconds (even during/after his resignation speech). But, then, he also created the four new IRREGULAR Cardinal Bishops. The ONLY need for this was the possibility of an imminent conclave. So, that is confusing — and I did address that in this post.

OK? So, I refuse to look much more than 3-years ahead.

So, now let me explain the AGE criteria. As of hurried election of John Paul II (following the unexpected death of 33-day pope, John Paul I) when he was 58-years of age, the cardinals, understandably, have opted for older popes. Bluntly put, in the absence of any term limits (and any requirement for a pope to retire), the cardinals do not want another pope who will reign for for 20 – 30 years (despite the success of John Paul II’s pontificate). So, the last two popes have been 76 and 78 years of age. I had said that age would be a factor the last time around — and I was right. I now content, emphatically, that age again will be a primary factor. It is unlikely that the next pope will be much younger than 75.


Other Given Caveats Per My Recokening (and these are NOT negotiable). {Smile}

The Next Pope per Anura Guruge will be:

  • White.
  • A non-American (as in say Seán Patrick O’Malley).
  • A non-Jesuit.
  • A proven institutionalist, i.e., one who has a firm track record of upholding Vatican (rather than Catholic per se) values and protocols.

‘European’, or at least, as in the case of Marc Ouellet one who has spent much of their priestly life in Rome working for the Curia.


Marc Ouellet, despite being considerably younger, was my #1 papabile last time around. And I acknowledged that age was an issue.

Over the next 3-years his age would be GOLDEN.

Marc, simply put, is BELOVED and respected to a level that is uncanny. That he is Canadian will not be a factor. Canada is a ‘neutral’ (unthreatening) country and moreover Marc has spent so much time in Rome that he is a honorary Italian.

So, why do I have him as #2 rather than my first pick again.

He, alas, is RELIGIOUS, though, thankfully, not a Jesuit (Francis, the first). Cardinals tend to shy away from Religious Order candidates and Francis, with his supplication to the Jesuits, did not help matters. I will go as far as saying that the ONLY religious that is papabil is Marc!


Some of you will correctly contend that their unprecedented promotion to (irregular) Cardinal Bishops make them very much Francis’ stooges and that will cause them to be blackballed because Francis is not that popular among the College. NOT so in the case of these two. They were both created cardinals ahead of Francis — and have been untainted by Francis.

But, right now Filoni is a tad too young. His star will truly be in the ascend around 2021 when he is 75.

Enough for now. Digest what I have said.

Thank you.


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by Anura Guruge

Pope Francis Appears To Be Confused As To Conclave Protocols Related To Cardinals.

by Anura Guruge


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The ONLY logical rationale for Pope Francis creating his four ‘IRREGULAR’ Cardinal Bishops last week was to set the groundwork for the NEXT conclave. I get that.

But, at the same time he was creating these four ‘irregulars’ he EXCEEDED the Cardinal Elector limit by 5! Ahhh?

To I, Pope Francis is like President Donald Trump. They both LOVE being what they are, but, alas, have little understanding or appreciation of the office they hold.

Pope Francis definitely seems at sea about conclave protocols.

Somebody obviously told him that you had to have at least one Cardinal Bishop at a conclave. NOT TRUE. The senior most Cardinal Patriarch or Priest would have deputized as the Dean. That is a GIVEN. That is what precedence in the College of Cardinals is all about.

So, PLEASE, let’s get this straight once and for all. You do NOT need to have any Cardinal Bishops at a conclave. Period. The rules of precedence will apply and the senior most cardinal will do the duties. I can refer you to an excellent book with all of the rules clearly spelled out. That is how I learnt all this stuff.

On the other hand, EXCEEDING the 120 limit for cardinal electors CANNOT be circumvented — per the current laws.

Barring deaths it will be July 2019 before the cardinal elector number again drops to the permissible 120.

IF a conclave was to occur while we had more than 120 electors we would be in uncharted territory.

Current laws ONLY permit 120 electors to attend.

Yes, of course, the Pope, like Trump, can take care of this, in minutes, with an ‘Executive Order’. All he has to say is that henceforth the elector limit for conclaves is 125 — or whatever number he wants. He could even remove the limit completely.

If he was savvy he would have taken care of this at the same time he created the 4 irregulars. Then everything would have been copacetic for the next conclave.

But, NO. Like Trump, Francis likes to rule by chaos.


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by Anura Guruge

Is the June 28, 2017 Cardinal Creating Consistory To Be Pope Francis’ Last — Before He Resigns?

by Anura Guruge


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This, by any standard, was a surprise, ‘snap’ announcement of a consistory. There was no need for one at this time — in that the cardinal-electors at 97% of full.

That he announced 5 and just 5 is intriguing.

As the graphic above clearly shows, barring any deaths, this means that there will be 121 electors until early February 2018.

IF there were to be a conclave prior to that having 121 cardinal electors would be a problem — as I have discussed many, many times.

The last time we had such a small number of cardinals created was in November 2012 — three months ahead of Benedict XVI announcing his resignation!

I have a feeling that there is SOME significance to this consistory.

Many things are strange and different! More on that soon.


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by Anura Guruge