Tag Archives: next pope

The Next Pope — Is Marc Ouellet Still A Viable Papabile?

by Anura Guruge


Link to the ‘Is Marc Ouellet Still A Viable Papabile?’ post.


I, per what I told you a few days ago, continue to make progress (albeit slow) on my NEW ‘The Next Pope‘ Website. Did a significant post today. IF you are into ‘next pope’ you really should read this — if not all the others.

Today, I also got around to successfully registering & verifying BOTH ‘nextpope.site‘ & ‘nextpope.org‘ with Google’s ever-so-important ‘Webmaster Tools’/’Search Console‘. So, the site will finally start to get noticed, in time, by Google.

For now I will keep on cross-referencing posts from that blog over here. But, that will not continue. So, please bookmark ‘nextpope.site‘ & try to visit it at least weekly. OK?

I have BOTH ‘nextpope.site‘ & ‘nextpope.org‘ pointing at it. I also own ‘nextpope.blog‘ but that is NOT linked to anything yet.

OK. Check it out. Thanks.


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by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope — My Criteria For The Papabili.

by Anura Guruge


Link to the ‘Next Pope Criteria — March 2021’ post.


As I told you a few days ago I am working, as much as I can, on populating, enhancing & refining my NEW ‘The Next Pope‘ Website. I have finally started to gain some momentum. Another new post today. So, I now have a total of 5 posts. Time. I need more time. But, I see some runway ahead of me. For now I will keep on cross-referencing posts from that blog over here. But, that will not continue. So, please bookmark ‘nextpope.site‘ & try to visit it at least weekly. OK?

I have BOTH ‘nextpope.site‘ & ‘nextpope.org‘ pointing at it. I also own ‘nextpope.blog‘ but that is NOT linked to anything yet.

OK. Check it out. Thanks.


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by Anura Guruge

I Explain, In My New ‘Next Pope’ Blog, Why Cardinal Robert Sarah Is Not & Never Was A Realistic Papabile.

by Anura Guruge


I started this ‘Next Pope’ blog last week. Still working on it. So, far I have only managed three post, this post about ‘Robert Sarah‘ the third. I am NOT going to reproduce these posts on this blog too. I want you to get in the habit of going to that blog for future ‘Next Pope‘ posts. OK.

But, until you get into the hang of that. I do NOT want you to miss any of these ‘Next Pope’ posts.


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by Anura Guruge

My “Pope Names” Is Finally (After 12-Years) Available As An eBook — Updated, Expanded & In Color.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


The 2008 PRINT version. This book was well received. Check Amazon … worldwide.


Some of the Reviews for the PRINT book on Amazon.

Click to ENLARGE & read here. On Amazon. Check it out.


In FULL color. Looks good.


Hard to believe. My 1st pope book! I was so, so new to popes & I was so tentative. Then I started getting all the feedback. Wow. People liked it. They had copies at the Vatican.

People started asking me what the NEXT NAME was going to be. That is what got me started on the ‘Next Pope‘ kick. Wow.

I said I would NEVER publish this book as an eBook. I was, obviously, WRONG.

The problem was that it was tightly-formatted & contained tons of tables. In 2008, eBook rendering was not good enough to deal with that. Much has changed in the last 12-years, PLUS I am much more experienced in creating eBooks. This took a fair amount of work & time. Close to a WEEK! At the rate I work, that is a LOT of work.

It looks good. I am PLEASED. I am proud of it.

Have a look. It is FREE to preview IF the $2 is too much of an ask.

It is also available, as are most of my eBooks (as of 2020), on BOTH APPLE & Amazon (i.e., Kindle). So, no excuses.



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by Anura Guruge


 

Who Is Eligible To Pope & Who Can Elect The New Pope — My Updated Chart.

by Anura Guruge



This was a chart that I originally compiled in 2009.

It has appeared in many of my pope books and is well known among the cognoscenti.

I use it all the time!

I was studying it again, this morning, looking at what happened in 1059, when it occurred to I that I could — & should — update it.

None of the data has changed.

Nothing has changed in this front in over 650-years.

Just the presentation. SMILE.

I hope it is clearer & even more self-explanatory. I try.


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by Anura Guruge

Filipino Cardinal Tagle Promoted To Be A Cardinal Bishop, As Predicted — But, Still NOT Papabile.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE. Updated from ‘gcatholic.org’.


Click image to access original from: ‘American Magazine’.


As I predicted 4-months ago. Was NOT hard.

Click to access my post.


Click to ENLARGE. The notion of ‘Suburbicarian Sees’ — i.e., the diocese (the sees) that surround Rome.


Click to access my post from 3-weeks ago.


As a senior curialist Luis Tagle he definitely was entitled to be a Cardinal Bishop. That he did NOT get the vacant Suburbicarian See was interesting. But, to be fair, Benjamino Stella (Italy), is more senior in terms of the curial dicastery he heads.

This is great for the Catholic Filipinos. They will be ecstatic. Good for them.

It still does NOT make him papabile. Not even close.

He now has 3 strikes against him:

  1. Way, way, way too YOUNG!
  2. Too exotic, for current times. Church wants to re-trench, get back to its roots.
    ….
  3. Coming across TOO much as Francis’ MAN, and Francis is losing his popularity among prelates.

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by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: Why The Winner Needs The Backing Of A Hybrid Coalition.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #V


You need a Supermajority, i.e., two-thirds of the votes cast, to be elected pope.

Coming up with this supermajority was a STROKE of genius. Yes, it sure complicates matters (and used to lead to interminably long elections) but it makes sure that the elected pope enjoyed a genuine mandate from his electorate. [It is also the case that one-thirds of the electorate can always block a candidate they do not want.]

The next conclave (unless Francis changes the 120 max ruling) is likely to have between 117 to 120 electors. Let’s, for this calculation, say 118. That means 79 electors MUST get behind the winner. [It also means that 39 can always BLOCK an election.]

Cobbling together 79 votes is not easy. Harder than most realize.

The ONLY group of electors that exceed that number is the total of active Archbishops & Bishops put together. But, they are NOT a homogeneous block that will always vote together. Geography for a start, plays a role before the ever crucial ideology kicks in.

Geography is interesting. Europe no longer can rustle up the majority and have been unable to do so for nearly (ir over) 90-years.

So, study the above chart. It gives you a good picture of the factions at play.


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by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: Angelo Scola (78) Could Be The ‘Hail Mary’ Pick If All Else Fails In 2020.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #IV


Angelo Scola, the eternal ‘bridesmaid’ (so to speak), will turn 79 in November, 2020. That would be another psychological strike against him though we have had two 79-year olds elected as pope, albeit both in the 17th-century.

At ’78’ he can claim ‘parity’ with (his good friend) Benedict XVI — though Benedict XVI was elected just 3-days after he turned 78.

Age, ironically, is the biggest strike against him. 78 is pushing it. If elected before he turns 79 he will be the 4th (possibly 3rd) oldest to be elected (albeit as of 1400).

Yes, there is, as is now the case with nearly all Italian cardinals, a whiff of scandal attached to him. He is supposed to have Mafia connections! Sacré bleu. He is Italian. What do you expect? I don’t think the electors will worry about that. It could even be an advantage. An Italian pope with Mafia connections.

He was papabile in BOTH 2005 & 2013. In 2013 he was extremely papabile. He was my #4 pick.

Well, in 2013, the extremely influential & well-connected ‘Italian Conference of Bishops’ issued a Press Release congratulating Scola as soon as they saw the white smoke above the Sistine! They were so sure that Scola would be the next pope.

Scola, in 2020, prior to November, will be the pope of last resort. If all other avenues does not lead to the 2/3rd majority.

Yes, he will be a caretaker a pope — hopefully for 4- to 5-years.

I think Ouellet is more papabile than Scola. No doubt. But, if Ouellet fails to get the votes, the electors might despair and decided to just go with a known, trusted entity, Scola.


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by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: It Might Be The RETURN Of The Customary Italian Pope.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #III


There is the famous adage: ‘a fat pope is followed by a thin pope‘.

In this instance it would be: ‘an unconventional pope is followed by a conventional pope‘.

Francis, by measure, was unconventional. For a start he was the first pope in centuries who had spent very little time in Rome. Francis’ exposure to Rome (and as such with the Vatican) was essentially non-existent. He did not have any education or training in Rome (or Italy) and he did not hold any significant curial roles of note. This might be a clue to why he has proved to be such an outsider within the Vatican.

Plus, he, despite his heritage, was non-European.

Francis has rocked the boat. He has not proved to be the pope that folks had thought and hoped.

It is now 42-years since the last Italian pope!

The Avignon papacy lasted 69-years.

I have a feeling that the next conclave is going to gravitate towards picking a traditional pope — at a minimum European. No exotics this time around.

But, they could go further. Go the whole hog, and opt for an Italian.

There are 22 Italian cardinal electors — as you can see.

This is my first cut. I will refine this Italian list over the next few weeks.

What are YOUR thoughts?


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by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: Cardinal Marc Ouellet Was Very Papabile In 2013, He Is Even More So In 2020.

by Anura Guruge



Click to ENLARGE, read & admire. From page 4 of my 2011 ‘The Next Pope’ book. I picked TEN papabili. Got Francis RIGHT — albeit as last pick! #1 was Ouellet and he was much younger then.


Click to ENLARGE and read. Again from my 2011 ‘Next Pope’ book.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #II


The more I think about it, the more I get convinced that Canadian Marc Ouellet is a (if not ‘the’) prime papabile.

He was young in 2013. At 75 his age is PERFECT.

He has not put a foot wrong with the Church and curia. He is golden.

Pope Francis demonstrated that he thinks highly of him by making him one of the four ‘irregular’ cardinal bishops.

Ouellet, per the leaks from the 2013 conclave, got a decent number of votes at that conclave.

The one big negative against him was said to have been his RESERVED, academic temperament. Well, in 2020, after the theatrics of Francis, that would be a virtue.

He is popular in Rome and among his peers.

He can get votes from around the globe. Put together quite the coalition.

I think he will be the one to beat.


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by Anura Guruge