Tag Archives: not frozen

Lake Winnipesaukee, NH 2016: No Ice-In Does Not Mean Ice-Out Will Be Early.

by Anura Guruge


noiceiniceout

Click to ENLARGE.


So this will be the 4th time since they started keeping records some 170 years ago that Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire — our BIG Lake — has not fully frozen over. The prior three winters having been: 1998 – 1999, 2000 – 2001 & 2014 – 2015. So those are the so called “no ice-in” years.

But as my ice-out Excel spreadsheet shows no ice-in doesn’t mean that we by rote will get an early ice-out. Yes, we did have an relatively early ice-out the first time we experienced a no ice-in, i.e., 1998 – 1999. But it had been even earlier the year before. But the other two were ABOVE average — the average being 109 days into the year, April 20 IF it is not a leap-year and April 19 IF it is (as is this year).

So just a heads up.


Related posts:
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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH 2016: V. Unlikely To Freeze Over Now; Will Be 4th Time In 170 Years.

by Anura Guruge


weirscamfeb42016

Screen grab of Weirs Bay, from the “Weirs Cam” at “winnipesaukee.com”, this afternoon. Temperature reading 48F! Click to ENLARGE and admire here. From: winnipesaukee.com.


I went running, with the dogs, up “Prospect Mountain Road” (as is my wont) this morning. It was 47°F. Wow. It was like Spring and yes, the road was muddy as it could be. The dogs came back soaked and muddy.

Lot of warm rain yesterday too. Yes going forward only next Wednesday will see highs above freezing BUT the damage has been done. Biggest factor now is that the Sun is higher in the sky and we have more daylight. That makes a big difference.

10dayweatherFeb42016

Click to ENLARGE and view here. From ‘wunderground.com’.

Though I could (of course) be wrong, and I appreciate that a lot of people would hope I am wrong, I think this will be the 4th year, since they started maintaining records around 170 years ago, that we at Lake Winnipesaukee will not get a complete ice-in.

So the 4 non-ice in years have been: 1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2013-2014 & 2015-2016. So all 4 have occurred within the last 18 years — and I have been up here, in and around the Lake to see all 4. NO I do not see this as proof of Global Warming. Last winter was COLD enough to dispel that.

I will, of course, keep you posted. I need to get out and get some pictures of the Lake.


Related posts:
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by Anura Guruge


Some Ice Fishing On Alton Bay, Lake Winnipesaukee, NH, January 24, 2016 — BUT Laken Is Not All Frozen.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


DSC00688


Some ice fishing bob houses and activity on Alton Bay, Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire on Sunday, January 25, 2016. But no vehicles on the ice let alone any planes!

Exactly a week ago this area of the Bay was devoid of any bob houses. Those these have been pushed out just this last week. Nothing compared to this time last year — when we had the runway in place.

Lake Winnipesaukee definitely not frozen totally, i.e., no ice-in as yet. Temperatures over the next 3 days are going to be above freezing during the day. Also supposed to get RAIN on Tuesday. That will definitely hinder any serious icing.

So this could be the 4th year, since they started keeping records some 170 years ago, that Lake Winnipesaukee hasn’t totally frozen over and ALL of these four instances have been as of 2001!


Related posts:
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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH 2016: 4th Time In 170 Years When NOT Fully Frozen?

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE. Taken on Monday, January 18, 2016 from Varney Point Left (where we lived for 10 years). Looking north towards Mt. Washington, in between Locks Island (to right) and Timber.


Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire’s iconic BIG Lake, is largely unfrozen right now — and I drove by the Lake yesterday (Jan. 19) again. Suffice to say this is somewhat atypical THOUGH my records (read blog posts here) indicate that on February 5, 2014 we were in a similar situation. But that is two weeks out and much can happen in New Hampshire, when it comes to weather, anytime of the year. But a quick look at ‘weather underground’ tells me that we have a 3-day warming trend, i.e., temps above freezing, early next week. So it is going to be close. I doubt, very much, whether we will have the Alton ‘Airport on the Ice‘ this year — last year having been a banner year.

IF the lake does not totally freeze over, i.e., no ice-in, this will be ONLY the 4th instance of that phenomenon in ~170 years (that is when they started keeping records).

But here is what is scary and intriguing. ALL 4 of these NO ice-ins would have occurred during my time in and around this Lake, I having moved up here, full-time, from Southern NH, in 1996.

The prior NO ice-outs occurred: 2013-2014, 2000-2001 & 1998-1999. I talk about these more in the above cited Feb. 5, 2014 link.

I will of course keep an eye on this and keep you posted. Note that no ice-in does NOT mean that we will not have an ice-out! Ice-out is not contingent on us having an ice-in. Some, if not all, Bays, e.g., Alton Bay, are indeed frozen. Well Alton Bay for one and Meredith for another need to be ice-free for ice-out to be declared. Get that?


Related posts:
++++ Search ‘Winni‘ & ‘ice‘ for many other related posts >>>>


by Anura Guruge