Tag Archives: polls

2020 Trump v. Biden Election Polling — Didn’t We Learn Anything From 2016?

by Anura Guruge



This afternoon I heard John King, on CNN, prattling on about election polling. For a second I thought they were doing a clip from 2016. It was exactly the same. How Trump’s path to victory was torturous etc. etc.

They all got it wrong, entirely, in 2016. Don’t they have any shame?

I am so fed up of this charade. Aren’t YOU?

It is as if we learnt nothing from 2016.


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by Anura Guruge

Delusional Democrats Counting Their 2018 Midterm Wins Even Before The Eggs Are LAID!

by Anura Guruge


Click to access FULL ‘Politico’ post.


Click to access my post from a few days ago.


Why would the Democrats even mention this.

Winning the House is NOT a certainty. Don’t they, for Christ Sake, ever learn? Remember Donald Trump had NO PATH to 270.

This is ludicrous.

I do NOT think that there will be Blue Wave. If there is any wave at all, I think it will be RED. I don’t want that but I am being realistic. I got burned, and burned BADLY, in 2016. I am not going to get burned again in 2018.

Democrats should STOP counting their chicks even before the eggs are laid, never mind hatched.

No wonder the Republicans play them like idiots.


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by Anura Guruge

Why Would YOU Believe The 2018 Midterm Polls Given How They SCREWED Us In 2016.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE. Google for plenty more.


Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.

I am well and truly done with polls, the 2016 election polls did me in.

I sure hope you remember ALL these polls from 2016. How Trump had NO path to 270.

I believed those 2016 polls. And see what that did for I.

I refuse to believe the 2018 midterm polls.

They, like the 2016 polls, will prove to be wrong. Totally wrong.

There will be NO blue wave. Just like Hillary Clinton did NOT become president.

Don’t be a sucker. Don’t be gullible. Stop letting them fool you.


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by Anura Guruge

Town-by-Town, ‘Red-Blue Map’ For New Hampshire 2016 , Trump vs. Clinton Election — Plus 2012 Comparison.

by Anura Guruge


redblue2016

Click to ENLARGE.


redblue2016-2012

Click to ENLARGE.


“Most Trump” (Reddest) vs. “Most Clinton” (Bluest) Towns 2016
— click here to access.


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by Anura Guruge

Revisiting My Exclusive New Hampshire ‘Red-Blue Map’ From 2012 — Obama v. Romney. NH Will Be MORE Red In 2016.

by Anura Guruge


In 2012, contradicting what you would have thought if you just went by all of the roadside political signs you saw in New Hampshire, President Barack Obama again won New Hampshire (a battleground state, and superficially ‘red’), by 40,659 votes (5.8%).

The NH voting was done in terms of 237 ‘towns’; Obama won 142, lost 94 and one, Dixville, was a tie.

Of the 10 NH Counties, Obama won 7, lost 3.

I painstakingly created these maps (in November 2012) to see how this victory was wrought.


Click to ENLARGE.


Click to ENLARGE. NH 2012 red and blue, town-by-town alongside county map — Anura Guruge.


As some of you know I campaigned like a black for Obama in 2008 & 2012 — going door-to-door (at least 450 houses in each instance), doing phone-banks, making signs, stuffing bags, taking people to the polls on election day and feeding (on my own dime) the other Obama volunteers in Laconia on multiple nights.

I haven’t volunteered as yet in 2016 for the Presidential election — though yesterday I marched in the Gilford ‘Old Home Day’ parade, with Devanee, for our friend, Lisa DiMartino who is running as a Democrat for a seat in the New Hampshire House (District 2: Gilford & Meredith).

 I am, for all my shortcomings, a keen observer and follower of New Hampshire politics. The 2016 ‘RedBlue‘ map will be DIFFERENT to that of 2012. It will be MORE RED!

I could be wrong, I HOPE I am wrong, BUT I do NOT think it is a given that Hillary Clinton will carry New Hampshire.

I agree that there is a HIDDEN Trump vote that is not reflected in the polls.

So those that think that New Hampshire is still ‘Blue’ could be in for a NASTY surprise.

Just a Heads Up.


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by Anura Guruge

9:30am (Eastern) Was THE Time To ‘Buy’ Post Brexit ‘Leave’ Vote. SMILE.

by Anura Guruge


crmpostbrexit

Chart for “Salesforce.com” (CRM), on June 24, 2016 — day after Brexit. From “marketwatch.com” of course — who else? Click to ENLARGE and marvel.


I stayed up till 1:30am (Eastern) watching the Referendum results, LIVE, on BBC 1 on my Roku, “UK TV” channel. [To my disappointment BBC election coverage came across as primitive compared to what we have got used to in the U.S.!]

I was surprised by the result and I really do have genuine, mixed feelings. I am not wildly euphoric that we voted, in a non-binding referendum, to LEAVE — though, deep, deep down, my sentiments are with LEAVE, which is how I voted, 41 years ago in the 1st Referendum.

I don’t believe that this is a done deal and a lot of water will flow under the collectives bridges of the EU before we see anything definitive 2.5 years, minimum, from now.

That the markets reacted the way they did was hilarious to I. It is crazy. Why sell stock today? What has changed?

But I was glad. I had been waiting, biding my time, for a pullback of this magnitude. SMILE. That is what clever investing is all about.

Was on Fidelity at 9:30am. I had NOT factored in that Fidelity would be slow! I should have remembered from past days like this. But it wasn’t too bad.

I wanted to buy more “salesforce.com” (CRM) and “Facebook” (FB) shares — some for the kids. Got it done. I was all done by 9:35am.

Why would AMZN go down $20 in the day? How will Brexit impact AMZN? I don’t think it will. Strangely AMZN options, my bread-and-butter, were not cooperating. Shame. But that is OK. I am not greedy, never was.

More on my feelings on Brexit in another post.

But for now, SMILE. SMILE. SMILE.

P.S., If Scotland AGAIN tries to break away I will be beyond bummed. 


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by Anura Guruge

With Polling Stations Open For Another 5 Hours, German Cinema Shooting Could Sway Brexit Voting!

by Anura Guruge


brexitgerman

Click image to access Reuters original.


Crossed my mind as I was watching the breaking news. We don’t know the details BUT if it was in any way ‘immigration-related’ it could have an impact on the Brexit referendum.

Food for thought.

Polls don’t close till 10pm London (GMT) time (today).


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by Anura Guruge

“Taste of India”, Dover, N.H. — Lives Up To Its Many Accolades Including Recent WMUR Poll.

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by Anura Guruge


Artifacts at “Taste of India”.

Related posts:
>>
Ten Indian restaurants in NH.
>> ‘Shalimar’, Portsmouth, NH.

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That we don’t, alas, manage to get there as often as I would like, or as often as we should, does not mean that we don’t think that the “Taste of India” is a very good place to eat — decent Indian food. It is invariably a case that Dover is not a place that we typically stop for dinner or lunch.

I had put them TOP of my list of 10 Indian restaurants in New Hampshire in 2012, and there is no reason, whatsoever, as to why I would even think of changing that ranking. Overall, when you factor taste, SERVICE, price, cordiality and pleasantness of surroundings the “Taste of India” invariably has to come up trumps. A WMUR poll of Indian restaurants in NH confirmed that.

We went to the “Taste of India”, this last Sunday, Father’s Day, after we had gone to see the comedy “Jurassic World“.

It was good. Very agreeable. We ordered a fair amount of appetizers because we all like them.


They made me some very spicey Lamb Shahi Korma and we had a Saag Paneer variant with chicken biryani and Aloo Paratha. It was all good. The kids liked it. They ate a bunch. But we still had 3 containers to bring home. It was good. Got to chat with very personable Joga Singh, an ex-math teacher, now the co-owner (with his brother) and Manager. It was very nice. They have a buffet Wednesday nights and Sunday afternoons. We definitely plan to go. So should YOU.