Tag Archives: records

Lake Winnipesaukee, NH Ice-Out 2016 — Ice-Out BEFORE Easter Is Not That Unusual.

by Anura Guruge


The RECORD
2016 Lake Winnipesaukee Ice-Out,
declared Friday, March 18, 2016,
77 Days into the Year
(while prior record was 82 days).

See this post for all the statistics.

Some have commented that 2016 Ice-Out is before Easter
— 2016 Easter on Sunday, March 27.

This, however, is not that unusual given that
Easter can occur as late as April 25.

27 instances of Ice-Out before Easter
(counting 2016) AND 4 cases when
Ice-Out was ON Easter.

That means that in the 130 years that we have records for,
Ice-Out happened on/before Easter 24% of the time.


iceoutbeforeeaster111

Click to ENLARGE.


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH Ice-Out 2016 — Friday, March 18; Breaks Old Record By 5 Full Days.

by Anura Guruge


2016 Lake Winnipesaukee Ice-Out was declared
just before noon on

Friday, March 18, 2016.

77 Days into the year.

Previous (known record), 2010 & 2012, was 82 days in.

Remember Leap Years bring in the dates, post February 29, by one.
So both March 23 & 24 are 82 days into the year depending on Leap Year.


iceout2016wmur

From WMUR. Click to access.



Click on images BELOW to ENLARGE.



Beats 2010 & 2012 Record by 5 full days.

iceout2016earliest


Coincidentally, and very coincidentally, 2016 & 2015 ice-outs both on a Friday.

Most have occurred on Thursdays.

iceoutdayofweek


Lake Winnipesaukee Ice-Out Dates for the last 25 years.

You can’t really claim there is a trend at present.

iceoutlast25years
iceoutlast25yearsgraph


Now the other end. The Latest Ice-Outs Ever.

iceoutlongest


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH: Ice-Out For Last 25 Years. Record = 2010 & 2012.

by Anura Guruge


iceout25years
Click to ENLARGE.


I have all the dates going back to 1887 — 129 years. Average during that time is April 19 (depending on Leap Years).

But I thought 25 years was a good window.

So BOTH all time records have been in within the last 7 years!

But, please, let us not take this as a definitive sign of Global Warming. Last year and year before we had ice outs close to average.

I am sure that this year, 2016, ice out will set a new record.


Sunday, March 13, 2016, 2pm,
Alton Bay. [Click to ENLARGE]

P1000497


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH: Earliest Ice-Out March 23/24 (Depending On Leap Year).

by Anura Guruge


earliesticeout

Click to ENLARGE.


All the indications are that we will get an early ice-out this year. Possibly very early.

The earliest recorded ice-outs, since they started keeping records in 1887 (129 years ago), is day 82 of the year.

Depending on whether it is a Leap Year or not day 82 is either March 24 (non-Leap) or March 23 (Leap).

This year is a Leap Year. So 82 days into the year will be March 23.

Today, March 11, is day 70. So we have 12 days to play with.

There is a hope that ice-out this year might beat all records and fall on the Spring Equinox, which is on March 20.

Easter Sunday is on March 27. Given that Easter can fall between March 22 and April 25 ice-out on March 20 – 23 would mean that it was BEFORE the range of Easter.


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH 2016: No Ice-In Does Not Mean Ice-Out Will Be Early.

by Anura Guruge


noiceiniceout

Click to ENLARGE.


So this will be the 4th time since they started keeping records some 170 years ago that Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire — our BIG Lake — has not fully frozen over. The prior three winters having been: 1998 – 1999, 2000 – 2001 & 2014 – 2015. So those are the so called “no ice-in” years.

But as my ice-out Excel spreadsheet shows no ice-in doesn’t mean that we by rote will get an early ice-out. Yes, we did have an relatively early ice-out the first time we experienced a no ice-in, i.e., 1998 – 1999. But it had been even earlier the year before. But the other two were ABOVE average — the average being 109 days into the year, April 20 IF it is not a leap-year and April 19 IF it is (as is this year).

So just a heads up.


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH 2016: V. Unlikely To Freeze Over Now; Will Be 4th Time In 170 Years.

by Anura Guruge


weirscamfeb42016

Screen grab of Weirs Bay, from the “Weirs Cam” at “winnipesaukee.com”, this afternoon. Temperature reading 48F! Click to ENLARGE and admire here. From: winnipesaukee.com.


I went running, with the dogs, up “Prospect Mountain Road” (as is my wont) this morning. It was 47°F. Wow. It was like Spring and yes, the road was muddy as it could be. The dogs came back soaked and muddy.

Lot of warm rain yesterday too. Yes going forward only next Wednesday will see highs above freezing BUT the damage has been done. Biggest factor now is that the Sun is higher in the sky and we have more daylight. That makes a big difference.

10dayweatherFeb42016

Click to ENLARGE and view here. From ‘wunderground.com’.

Though I could (of course) be wrong, and I appreciate that a lot of people would hope I am wrong, I think this will be the 4th year, since they started maintaining records around 170 years ago, that we at Lake Winnipesaukee will not get a complete ice-in.

So the 4 non-ice in years have been: 1998-1999, 2000-2001, 2013-2014 & 2015-2016. So all 4 have occurred within the last 18 years — and I have been up here, in and around the Lake to see all 4. NO I do not see this as proof of Global Warming. Last winter was COLD enough to dispel that.

I will, of course, keep you posted. I need to get out and get some pictures of the Lake.


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by Anura Guruge


Some Ice Fishing On Alton Bay, Lake Winnipesaukee, NH, January 24, 2016 — BUT Laken Is Not All Frozen.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


DSC00688


Some ice fishing bob houses and activity on Alton Bay, Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire on Sunday, January 25, 2016. But no vehicles on the ice let alone any planes!

Exactly a week ago this area of the Bay was devoid of any bob houses. Those these have been pushed out just this last week. Nothing compared to this time last year — when we had the runway in place.

Lake Winnipesaukee definitely not frozen totally, i.e., no ice-in as yet. Temperatures over the next 3 days are going to be above freezing during the day. Also supposed to get RAIN on Tuesday. That will definitely hinder any serious icing.

So this could be the 4th year, since they started keeping records some 170 years ago, that Lake Winnipesaukee hasn’t totally frozen over and ALL of these four instances have been as of 2001!


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee, NH 2016: 4th Time In 170 Years When NOT Fully Frozen?

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE. Taken on Monday, January 18, 2016 from Varney Point Left (where we lived for 10 years). Looking north towards Mt. Washington, in between Locks Island (to right) and Timber.


Lake Winnipesaukee, New Hampshire’s iconic BIG Lake, is largely unfrozen right now — and I drove by the Lake yesterday (Jan. 19) again. Suffice to say this is somewhat atypical THOUGH my records (read blog posts here) indicate that on February 5, 2014 we were in a similar situation. But that is two weeks out and much can happen in New Hampshire, when it comes to weather, anytime of the year. But a quick look at ‘weather underground’ tells me that we have a 3-day warming trend, i.e., temps above freezing, early next week. So it is going to be close. I doubt, very much, whether we will have the Alton ‘Airport on the Ice‘ this year — last year having been a banner year.

IF the lake does not totally freeze over, i.e., no ice-in, this will be ONLY the 4th instance of that phenomenon in ~170 years (that is when they started keeping records).

But here is what is scary and intriguing. ALL 4 of these NO ice-ins would have occurred during my time in and around this Lake, I having moved up here, full-time, from Southern NH, in 1996.

The prior NO ice-outs occurred: 2013-2014, 2000-2001 & 1998-1999. I talk about these more in the above cited Feb. 5, 2014 link.

I will of course keep an eye on this and keep you posted. Note that no ice-in does NOT mean that we will not have an ice-out! Ice-out is not contingent on us having an ice-in. Some, if not all, Bays, e.g., Alton Bay, are indeed frozen. Well Alton Bay for one and Meredith for another need to be ice-free for ice-out to be declared. Get that?


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by Anura Guruge


Sandwich Fair, NH, Saturday, October 6, 2012: Some Pictures


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

….
by Anura Guruge


Related posts:
1/ Sandwich Fair, NH, Saturday, October 6, 2012: We Went, We Had Fun, We Recommend — Oct. 6, 2012.
2/ Sandwich Fair, NH, 2012: This Columbus Day Weekend; Weather A Factor — Oct. 5, 2012.

Click on thumbnail to ENLARGE it to full size and see all pictures as a slide show.
…..

Sandwich Fair, NH, Saturday, October 6, 2012: We Went, We Had Fun, We Recommend.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

….
by Anura Guruge


Related post:
>> Sandwich Fair, NH, 2012: This Columbus Day Weekend; Weather A Factor — Oct. 5, 2012.

Click on image to ENLARGE all pictures to FULL size.
…..


We got there about 9:40 am. The main, free car park on Bean Road/Squam Lake Road leading to Gate C was full. But, it wasn’t a problem. The auxiliary free car park, 200 yards down the road, was empty. That takes you via the quaint little “Murphy’s Bridge” to Gate E — and then straight to the Tractor Pull area. So we started by looking at some amazing antique cars, some old engines and 20 minutes of tractor pulls. That was good. Good way to start the show. Also a guy on stilts and Deanna and the kids love men on stilts. Growing up in Ceylon we would have men in stilts come by the house and do a performance for a few cents. I think it is a bygone era. Performers going door-to-door. We use to get snake charmers, fortune tellers and match makers, à la ‘Fiddler On The Roof’, too.

When we got to the Midway it was 11:20 and they were pushing the $15 ‘all-you-can-ride’ till 2pm bracelets. So I just ended up getting two for the kids and 6 additional tickets so that Deanna and I could go on the Ferris Wheel as we like to do as a family. So we did that. They were having a LOT of problems with the electric for the big rides. I had never thought about it. You can’t run the really big rides off an extension chord. They have huge power generating trucks around the Midway churning out the juice. But, they were having problems. ‘Air Force 1‘, the premier ride, was down for the count. Didn’t impact us greatly as Devanee won’t do it anymore after scaring herself to death on it a few years ago — when we took her and three other friends to the Fair for her birthday, on the birthday, October 10. They had a new ride, an UFO; a fast spinning UFOs with no openings or windows. Devanee, after a nervous first ride, did it twice more. Tesichan rode the carousel three or four times. They did the bumper cars. So I think we got our $30. Other than ‘Air Force 1’, as far as I could see, all the other rides, including the Ferris Wheel, were ‘3 tickets’ each. I think they have come down in tickets — possibly after seeing a drop in attendance when they jacked up prices.

We saw Roderick Russell, the mind reader and sword swallower at the stage. He was good. He said he was famous. I checked him out. He is. He was great. He was fun and yes, I got to get up on stage with him though he wouldn’t let me try swallowing his sword. I saw ‘Mo the Clown‘. I also saw and spoke briefly with Alex Ray of the ‘Common Man’ (who I have known since 1998). He was at his ‘distracted best‘. Enough said. 


Click to check out his Website and read about all his records and exploits. Nice young guy. I gave him some chocolates after the show. He was happy to get them, to sooth his throat.


The weather forecast I posted here was right. It was overcast from the beginning. We got two large showers, the first at 3:40 and the other around 5. Wasn’t a big deal for us. We ducked into the ‘Smith & Hodge Exhibit Halls‘ during the first downpour and the ‘Craft Building‘ for the second. Surprisingly neither was packed with people seeking shelter! For a start, it wasn’t that crowded to begin with, especially for a Saturday. I think many knew the forecast and decided to stay away. After the first shower the place was nearly empty. That was a shame. Felt bad for the vendors. By 5 a few of them were looking rather desperate. Then the sun did come out, but rain clouds threatened, all around. It was warm mid-day but after the rain it got noticeably cool. We all put on jackets.

The art show, as ever, was amazing. Love the quality of the photographs entered for the competition. Wow.

Definitely recommend that you try and get there Sunday or Monday. Good atmosphere. Great bonhomie. Everybody is friendly and is trying to have a good time.

Food prices were the same as last year. So that was two big contrasts with the 2012 Loon Highland Games; you didn’t feel that you were being mercilessly exploited at every turn and they had new things. Bravo.

Yes, we plan to go next year. [P.S., Sandwich, in a huge about-turn from years past, appears to have become a Democratic enclave. Not sure how that happened.]

Devanee playing field hockey with a pig. She, i.e., Devanee, won a pink ribbon for her efforts. We, however, didn’t get to bring one home.