Tag Archives: seat

How Obama Won New Hampshire — The In-Depth, Town-by-Town Data Analysis.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

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by Anura Guruge


Related:
NH red and blue town-by-town map — Nov. 14, 2012.


Well, we all know that President Barack Obama again won New Hampshire, which was a battleground state, and superficially ‘red’, especially if you went by the roadside political signs.

Voting in NH is done in terms of 237 ‘towns’, a few of them having multiple precincts such that there is a total of 301 precincts. This ‘deep dive’ computerized analysis, however, is done in terms of the 237 ‘towns’ as this is the most germane and meaningful.

A Grand Total of 705,874 valid votes were cast in
New Hampshire on November 6, 2012.

Obama got 368,529 (52.2%) of those votes.

Romney got 327,870 (46.4%) votes and the two ‘independents’, Goode and Johnson, got 1,156 (0.2%) and 8,319 (1.2%) respectively.

Obama thus won by 40,659 votes (5.8%).

But the above doesn’t tell you the whole, intriguing story. So given that computerized data analysis is something that I relish doing (and do a lot in terms of my papal history research) I went about setting up an Excel spread sheeting and analyzing the data. I got the raw data from WMUR, from this page. [No, I did not type it in. It is all a matter of ‘copy-paste-replace-replace-tabulate-cut-paste’ and viola!]


Obama won more votes than Romeny in 142 ( 59.9%) towns in NH. So that is more than is 52.2% ‘popular’ vote win.

He won Dalton’s 492 votes by ONE (1)!; Obama 241, Romney 240 & Johnson 11.

He won Deering by 3.

*******

Obama lost 94 towns to Romney, with Dixville (the 1st in the Nation to announce the vote) the ONLY tie.

Obama lost Haverhill by 1 vote.


The towns in which Obama had the greatest majority in terms of the votes cast (i.e., ‘%). Lyme tops the list, with intellectual Hanover, home of ‘Dartmouth’, coming in next. This list makes interesting reading.

Obama New Hampshire Win by Anura Guruge

The top NH Obama towns in terms of ‘%’ win. Click to ENLARGE.


The towns that were the most Pro-Romney in terms of ‘%’, and it grieves me that New Ispwich (which was my 1st home in NH, 1986 to 1996 and still home to my eldest, though my son voted in MA) and Alton (2007 ->) are right there at the bottom! But, we won.


This chart, which shows the top 10 numerical plurality that Obama enjoyed tells the story as to how and where Obama won NH. He won all the big [i.e., most populous] towns. As Bill Clinton will say, the rest is arithmetic.

Where Obama won BIG. Click to ENLARGE.

So just in these 10 towns he got a 41,722 vote lead.

In the 142 towns he carried, his total lead was 73,213.

In the 94 towns he lost, his deficit was 32,554 — hence the overall 40,569 win.

The town with the numerically largest anti-Obama vote was Bedford, with 3,277. Alton’s ‘margin’ was 940, that of Gilford 315.



Though I am very possessive of my popes-related Excel spread sheets, I am happy to freely share with Excel spread sheet with anyone else who is interested. Just e-mail me.

Andrew Hosmer, The Perfect Gentleman (Though A Lawyer), Wins HUGE In NH Senate District 7. Great News For NH.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

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by Anura Guruge


The first time I met Andrew Hosmer was at this year’s Laconia Multicultural Day when he was doing the rounds. We chatted briefly and I was hugely impressed. I introduced him to a ‘friend’ from Gilford who had lost his job at Hannaford’s. Andrew spent a lot of time talking with him. I decided that I was going to follow Andrew. I was not disappointed. Then I found out that my friend Lisa DiMartino, who also just won a seat in the NH house, was acting as Andrew’s fiscal agent. For me the deal was done. I was not just going to follow Andrew, I was going to root for him though Alton (where we live) is outside of his District 7. I am glad I did. Andrew has done all of us PROUD! Bravo. This continues to be a great, great, wonderful week for me, the family, Alton, NH, THE COUNTRY and the World. I am so happy and proud. Having folks like Lisa and Andrew in Concord is so good for the 47% — which includes us.


Andrew Hosmer introduced Dr. Jill Biden when she visited Laconia, NH on October 26, 2012.

Andrew Hosmer with Jill Biden taken by Anura Guruge

Andrew Hosmer after he had done a great job introducing Dr. Jill Biden who captivated the gathering. Please refer to link above for another picture of Andrew at this event. Click to ENLARGE.


Click to ENLARGE.


Though I knew of his company, I only knew of Andrew’s opponent from what I had read in the media, as of the September primary race. I was amazed. For there to be so much smoke around him had to mean that something was smoldering. I was worried for Andrew. His opponent, in terms of signage and letters to the Laconia Daily Sun, seemed to be on a tear.

I had a brief, private chat with Andrew after the Jill Biden visit. He assured me that he was ‘looking good. Told me not to worry. But, I still worried. I counted signs on election day as I was in and around Gilford and Laconia doing my stuff for Obama. His opponent definitely won the sign contest. But, as with Obama, this election proved that signs means NADA. If anything it was those that had the least signs that won. I am so delighted. I had 4 Obama signs stolen. But, that is OK. Obama won. Romney lost. Same with Andrew. Andrew won. The signs lost.

I saw his opponents truck, emblazoned with the name of his company, illegally parked at the Gilford voting station. Yes, I have a picture of it — but I didn’t post it because I did not want to give his company any free publicity. To me seeing his truck illegally parked said it all. I wanted Andrew to win.

Andrew won. Life is good.

I can add another ‘I WON’ to my list. How great is that?

Election Day 2012 In New Hampshire (NH): Around Alton & Gilford


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

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by Anura Guruge


Related posts:
>> Election Day 2012, November 6: Devanee Having The Day Of Her Life — Nov. 7, 2012.
>> We won, we won, we won … we only lost one — Nov. 7, 2012.


Click the image to ENLARGE it to full-size.

Well this person in Alton will have to now wait another 4 years. I guess God would appear to be ‘A-OK’ with ObamaCare.

Alton polling station at Prospect Mountain School around 10:45 am.

In general the Republicans had about 100 signs for each Democrat sign (that had not been stolen), but this little grouping of signs leading to the Alton voting station sure tried to make a stand.

An ultra pro-Obama truck at the Gilford polling station. Made my day. Bravo.

Signs at the Laconia/Gilford border.

Gilford voting station at the Middle School. This was in the afternoon. That is winner, Lisa DiMartino standing to the left of the bright blue sign that bears her name. [Just to the right of center.]

Election Day 2012, November 6: Devanee Having The Day Of Her Life With The Winners.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

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by Anura Guruge


Devanee Guruge with NH State House representative Lisa DiMartino.

Devanee, outside the Gilford polling station, with WINNER Lisa DiMartino helping Lisa with ‘visibility. Lisa took Devanee door-to-door campaigning later that day, while I was going door-to-door for Obama. Click to ENLARGE.

Devanee Guruge promoting NH governor Maggie Hassan.

Devanee, thanks to Lisa, holding up a triple sign for WINNER, the next governor of NH, Maggie Hassan at the Gilford polling station. She is very proud of this. As far as I could tell she was the only kid doing visibility in Gilford yesterday. Click to ENLARGE.

We WON, We WON, We WON, We WON, We WON …. We ONLY Lost One.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

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by Anura Guruge


We WON:
President Barack Obama, Maggie Hassan for Governor, Carol Shea-Porter, Ann Kuster, Lisa DiMartino
(Gilford & Meredith NH House), Andrew Hosmer.

What a day. What a night. Devanee and I were up till past 2:30 am. Devanee wanted to hear Romney’s concession speech … then the Presidents VICTORY speech. It was a great day for Devanee. She spent much of it with Lisa DiMartino campaigning with Lisa and holding up a Maggie Hassan sign. How great for a 12 year old. She feels so connected. Best form of education. We won.

This was me yesterday, with the local, Obama campaign team leader for Gilford, NH and her beautiful ‘golden’, ‘Sasha’. The ‘GOTV‘ — stands for what I have been doing for the last three weeks: ‘Get Out The Vote‘ (GOTV) for Obama.

As for the one that we lost. It isn’t looking too good my friend, and pharmacist, Rich Leonard. That is a shame. Rich is such a wonderful person. He would have made an exceptional Senator.

Anura Guruge on November 6, 2012, election day, campaigning, as he also did in 2008, for Obama.

Lisa DiMartino (D) Wins NH House Seat For Gilford and Meredith. We are SO Happy.


Anura Guruge, laughing, picture November 16, 2011.

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by Anura Guruge


Lisa DiMartino, NH State Rep. Belknap County, District 2 (Gilford & Meredith) with Dr. Jill Biden.

Lisa DiMartino, NH State Rep. Belknap County, District 2 (Gilford & Meredith) with Dr. Jill Biden.

My endorsement from October 3, 2012.

Thank YOU.